The storm is brewing around What Darwin Got Wrong, Jerry Fodor and Massimo Piattelli-Palmarini's essay debunking neo-Darwinism. It pulls no punches and has already made enemies. Which is a shame. So far, I've only found two responses that weren't mostly ad hominen counterattacks. (That's religiosity for you.) The first broadly agreed. The second didn't actually refute the argument. It merely said neo-Darwinism can embrace Fodor's critique - though as Mary Midgley nicely remarks in her review, that extension is done at the cost of adding epicycles.

Fodor's argument, in short, is that whilst there is certainly evolution in nature, there is no coherent theory of evolution by natural selection in science. The theory doesn't add up because it can't shed its intentionality: natural selection must always be selection for something, but only minds can select for, and nature doesn't have mind. That's the reduced version of the logical refutation. Then there's the mounting evidence that all kinds of processes are involved in the evolution of species, and that natural selection, even if it could be coherently formulated, would be just one amongst very many, and possibly not a very important one at that. Hence, Fodor concludes that evolution is like history. There are no laws, beyond the constraints imposed by the physical world itself. Evolution is just one damn thing after another.

I'd be interested in serious engagements with the book. So do leave links if you find any. But since it inevitably plays into the politics of evolution, it's interesting to ask who are the winners and losers if their argument is right.

Evolutionary psychology is the big loser. If evolution is not shaped by biological laws, then there's no universal adaptionism, which means that evolutionary psychology's accounts of how friendship, disgust, religion and so on got going are as Stephen Jay Gould always said they were: just so stories. There just isn't the evidence to piece together a prehistoric genealogy of these things, and it's hardly likely there ever will be. Evolutionary theory's 'universal acid', as Dennett put it, is neutralized in the slime if Fodor is right.

The book's a challenge to religious believers too. For those who don't accept evolution, the end of the theory does not mean the end of the processes of evolution. It still happens, just piecemeal. The natural world is not designed, and it never was. Fodor cites Gould again when he said that if you ran the tape of evolution twice, everything would turn out different. That's a result of there being no laws once more.

For those who accept evolution, and say that it's just God's way of shaping the natural world, the end of neo-Darwinism will be tricky too. If things could have turned out differently, then there's no necessity in evolution, which implies that humanity, say, might not have been. That somewhat scuppers divine purposefulness in creation: God is forced to play dice, as it were.

That said, the work of individuals like Simon Conway Morris, a 'wet' biologist who spots repeated convergences in evolution, is not really discussed by Fodor. Convergences imply that evolution 'seeks out' solutions to ecological problems, something Fodor strongly denies. If convergences follow multiple and different evolutionary paths - and it doesn't matter whether by natural selection or not - that would seem to be a problem for him.

The big winner is evolution itself. It'd become a subject that never ends, like history. They'll always be variations in the way the past can be reconstructed, always new details to add, always unseen factors at play. In her review, Midgley says Darwin would have welcomed that. Whatever the story of terrestrial evolution turns out to be, the story of evolutionary science now looks radically incomplete.

UPDATE Michael Ruse, whose even-handed views on matters Darwinian I value, has reviewed the book in the Boston Globe and he finds the book 'intensely irritating' and 'very odd'. That said, I imagine that Ruse's review will irritate some neo-Darwinians too. 'The Darwinian is using a metaphor to understand the material nonthinking world,' he writes. 'We treat that world as if it were an object of design, because doing so is tremendously valuable heuristically. And the use of metaphor is a commonplace in science.'